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Tag Archives: tropical storm

A Rainy Weekend Begins

A tropical weather system (as yet unnamed) is heading toward southwest Florida.  Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center expect the system to become better organized and become a tropical storm later today (Friday, June 3, 2022).  Once named, Alex (click here for information about naming tropical storms and hurricanes) will

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Eta’s zig-zag track continues (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

The other day, I used the word “serpentine” to describe Eta’s past and expected movements.  Eta has not disappointed. First, the storm moved westward, then headed northward along the Central American coast; and then northeastward toward the Central part of Cuba (where it resided earlier this Sunday morning).  The storm

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Eta to affect southwest Florida this weekend (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

Tropical Depression Eta (Fig. 1) is almost back to tropical storm strength; the latest 3 a.m. CST advisory (Friday) places peak sustained winds at 35 miles per hour.  As Eta, currently moving slowly northward, starts moving northeastward during the next few hours, the storm will traverse warm ocean waters and

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A Tropical Storm Season Update – Aug. 1, 2017 (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

So far, the Eastern Pacific (EPAC) Basin (the North Pacific Ocean east of 140 degrees West longitude) 2017 hurricane season is “on fire.” For July alone, Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, ran at 2.5 times the recent monthly average.

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Rain temporarily leaves Southwest Florida (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

The focus during tropical cyclone events is typically on high winds, coastal storm surge, heavy coastal and inland rainfall, and possible flooding. However, if one is located far enough away from the storm’s circulation, atmospheric processes may lead to less rainfall. Such is the case for southwest Florida during the

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Two Atlantic Tropical Weather Systems (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

During the past two days, the tropical Atlantic has come to life. Two weather systems are in the news this Monday morning (Fig. 1). The first is Potential Tropical Storm TWO, that is moving rapidly westward toward the southern Windward Islands. This very low-latitude tropical weather system is expected to

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Newton weakens; brings flash flood threat to parts of Arizona and New Mexico… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

As quickly as Newton formed, it has begun its demise. Moving across rough terrain in northwestern Mexico, Newton has been downgraded to tropical storm status early this Wednesday morning. By this evening, according to National Hurricane Center forecasters, Newton should be in depression status as it moves across southeastern Arizona

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Tropical Storm Hermine is now getting weird (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Take a look at today’s early morning (Sept. 3, 2016) Hermine forecast track from the National Hurricane Center – NHC (Fig. 1) and you’ll see several things appear to be, well, just plain weird. However, there is some good rationale behind each of these. First, Hermine is expected to slow

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Fiona fades; Gaston grows; but there is another tropical system (99L) on Florida’s horizon… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Fiona (the sixth Atlantic tropical cyclone of the 2016 season) recently passed. In her wake, Gaston briefly reached hurricane strength far out in the Atlantic. Another tropical system (99L) near the Bahamas is still showing signs of intensifying this weekend as it approaches the Florida Straits. And, more African waves

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The next hurricane…

September 10 marks the average day of peak tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic Ocean basin (Fig. 1). As we approach that day, the atmosphere is delivering. Early this Monday morning (Aug. 22, 2016), there were three tropical systems at play in the Atlantic – Tropical Depression Fiona and two

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